NASA Satellite Crashing Towards Earth With A 1-In-2,467 Chance Of Hitting Someone

Dead NASA Satellite Crashing Towards Earth With A 1-In-2,467 Chance Of Hitting Someone

A massive 660-lbs satellite is expected to crash back to Earth on Wednesday with a one in 2,467 chance of hitting someone upon reentry, NASA says.

The Reuven Ramaty High Energy Solar Spectroscopic Imager (RHESSI) has been retired since 2018 and is entering our atmosphere again for the first time in almost 21 years.

NASA and the Department of Defense have predicted that the satellite will make its entry at around 9:30 p.m. EDT on April 19, or around 2 a.m. BST on April 20.

 

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Although experts warned there is an uncertainty of plus or minus 16 hours. The agency did not reveal where on the planet they expect it to land and said they expect most of the satellite to burn up upon entry.

However, there is an approximately 1 in 2,467 chance debris from the satellite could come in contact with someone when it does. While NASA has described this risk as “low,” it is much higher than other uncommon risks people face daily.

For example, the National Weather Service estimates that every year, individuals face a 1 in 1,222,000 chance of being struck by lightning. That chance goes up when looking at the odds of being struck within an average lifetime, with a 1 in 15,300 chance – however it is still much lower than the chance of being hit by RHESSI.

Additionally, the Hellis Solutions Limited, a group of arboricultural consulants, estimated that people face a 1 in 10,000,000 risk at dying from a fallen tree.